How Much Are 25 Ukrainian Goals Really Worth?

Update: I don’t get too much right on here, so it’s probably worth pointing out when I do! In this piece from July 2013, I calculated that Henrikh Mkhitaryan would score around nine goals per season in England. Using the same system would’ve suggested that he would score eight (well, 7.86) in Germany, and he scored nine in his first season with Dortmund. Coincidence? Maybe, it is a small figure after all. But this mightn’t be the worst system to use when seeing what a high scoring player from a minor European league might do in one of the big leagues.

In a couple of recent posts (here and here), I have tried to learn a bit more about Liverpool target Henrikh Mkhitaryan by looking at his stats from the Champions League.

Although the numbers aren’t too impressive, I have had several comments advising me that they don’t matter as he scored twenty-five goals from midfield this season, which renders everything else irrelevant.

But my issue with that idea is that I don’t know how strong the Ukrainian league is, so I have devised a system to try to establish how good Mkhitaryan’s goal tally is in the context of the Premier League.

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Mkhitaryan vs Eriksen: Champions League Showdown

I recently wrote a piece which looked at the Champions League stats of Liverpool target Henrikh Mkhitaryan (and you can read it here), but it only had figures from this season.

Following publication of the article, I received several requests for Christian Eriksen’s stats, as he is also rumoured to be on Brendan Rodgers’ radar, and supposedly cheaper to boot (at £15m, compared to £25m for his Armenian counterpart).

Thanks to a tip-off from Dan Kennett, I have located and compiled the figures from Champions League football for both players for the last three seasons. It’s still a small sample, but hopefully it might add a little something to the transfer debate.

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Why Do Liverpool Need Mkhitaryan?

Regularly writing articles for this blog is a very enjoyable hobby, but the main problem is that I then don’t have much time to do anything else.

That includes watching football matches, aside from the Reds of course, and so when Liverpool are linked to a player I often have no idea how good they are.

Take Henrikh Mkhitaryan; I haven’t much of a clue who he is, yet the gossip columns tell me that a £25m bid from Liverpool is in the offing. Yet a look at what few stats are available for him makes me wonder why.

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